Survey: UDF 69–81, LDF 57–69, NDA 1–5 — Manorama-CVoter Projection

The Manorama News–C-Voter mega survey projects a clear UDF advantage. LDF may get 57–69 seats, NDA could win 1–5. LDF leads in south Kerala while UDF is stronger in the north.

Manorama-CVoter Survey: 2026 Projection

The mega survey conducted by Manorama News and C-Voter indicates the direction of the 2026 Kerala Assembly Election.

Overall Projection

Regional Trends

• South Kerala — LDF ahead; retaining its traditional stronghold
• North Kerala — UDF showing strong performance
• Nemom — BJP's Rajeev Chandrasekhar projected to defeat CPM's V Sivankutty and Congress's KS Sabarinadhan

Comparison with 2021

In 2021, LDF made history winning 99 seats. The survey suggests repeating that performance will be difficult. If UDF secures 69–81 seats as projected, it would be a stronger showing than their 2016 performance.

NDA's Position

The 1–5 seat projection signals marginal NDA progress. Nemom, Vattiyoorkavu, and Kazhakkoottam are identified as BJP's best prospects.

A Word of Caution

Surveys indicate direction, they don't predict outcomes. Last-minute swings are common in Kerala. The voters' decision on April 9 is what ultimately counts.